July 13, 2026

Day 89

Let winners run
Regime: GREEN

GREEN Full allocation — 5 picks deployed.

The Picks

Ticker Scan Price Gap % RVOL Catalyst ML Hold Prob ML Expected
UGP $6.02 3.61 22.34 Analyst: BofA analyst Leonardo Marcondes upgraded Ultrapar (UGP) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $7.40 [via web]
STLA $5.64 5.82 11.76 Earnings: Stellantis reported Q2 2026 shipments of 1.6M units, up 10% year-over-year, driven by strong North America performance across Ram, Jeep, and Chrysler brands.
AXIA $10.48 3.70 14.57 Contract: AXIA Energia shares rallied nearly 4% on its recent R$1 billion debenture offering for the Santo Antônio hydroelectric project [via web]
MT $66.12 5.02 14.99 No catalyst identified
BSBR $5.45 6.03 13.55 Analyst: JPMorgan lowered Santander Brasil price target to $6.50 from $7 while maintaining an Overweight rating [via web]

The Results

Ticker Entry Entry Time Exit Exit Time Method P/L % Catalyst
UGP $6.06 $6.02 3:20 PM Limit Close $-60.51 -0.60 Analyst: BofA analyst Leonardo Marcondes upgraded Ultrapar (UGP) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $7.40 [via web]
STLA $5.74 $5.55 3:20 PM Limit Close $-336.87 -3.31 Earnings: Stellantis reported Q2 2026 shipments of 1.6M units, up 10% year-over-year, driven by strong North America performance across Ram, Jeep, and Chrysler brands.
AXIA $10.46 $10.22 3:20 PM Limit Close $-229.92 -2.30 Contract: AXIA Energia shares rallied nearly 4% on its recent R$1 billion debenture offering for the Santo Antônio hydroelectric project [via web]
MT $66.32 $65.51 3:37 PM Limit Close $-122.31 -1.22 No catalyst identified
BSBR $5.47 $5.32 3:20 PM Limit Close $-275.10 -2.74 Analyst: JPMorgan lowered Santander Brasil price target to $6.50 from $7 while maintaining an Overweight rating [via web]

Shadow Results

Ticker Shadow Entry Shadow Exit Exit Time Method Shadow P/L % Result Catalyst
UGP $6.06 $6.02 3:20 PM Limit Close $-60.51 -0.60 LOSS Analyst: BofA analyst Leonardo Marcondes upgraded Ultrapar (UGP) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $7.40 [via web]
STLA $5.74 $5.55 3:20 PM Limit Close $-336.87 -3.31 LOSS Earnings: Stellantis reported Q2 2026 shipments of 1.6M units, up 10% year-over-year, driven by strong North America performance across Ram, Jeep, and Chrysler brands.
AXIA $10.46 $10.22 3:20 PM Limit Close $-229.92 -2.30 LOSS Contract: AXIA Energia shares rallied nearly 4% on its recent R$1 billion debenture offering for the Santo Antônio hydroelectric project [via web]
MT $66.32 $65.51 3:37 PM Limit Close $-122.31 -1.22 LOSS No catalyst identified
BSBR $5.47 $5.32 3:20 PM Limit Close $-275.10 -2.74 LOSS Analyst: JPMorgan lowered Santander Brasil price target to $6.50 from $7 while maintaining an Overweight rating [via web]

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This post is part of a series documenting MorningEdge's development in real time. The knowledge base contains 0 books, papers, and lab reports totaling 0+ searchable chunks. The trading system described is paper trading only — no real capital is at risk.