August 20, 2026

Day 117

Cash is a position
Regime: RED

RED Full risk-off day.

The Picks

Ticker Scan Price Gap % RVOL Catalyst ML Hold Prob ML Expected
IBIT $40.73 11.28 44.13 Btc Sympathy: Bitcoin surged above $71,000 driven by positive sentiment and massive short liquidations, benefiting IBIT as a Bitcoin spot ETF with direct exposure to BTC price movements.
BITB $38.99 11.18 48.12 Sector: Spot Bitcoin ETF flows and broader crypto strength appear to be lifting BITB, with no single BITB-specific catalyst identified in the latest headlines [via web]
MRK $150.00 10.97 41.62 Analyst: A Merck analyst upgraded the stock, placing it among the top 5 upgrades for Thursday.
ARKG $47.02 8.81 35.40 Partnership: Merck and Moderna's cancer vaccine breakthrough partnership could drive investor interest in mRNA technology holdings within ARKG's genomics and biotech portfolio.
WPM $144.95 9.23 37.32 Sector: Government deficit spending is driving demand for mining commodities, positioning WPM to benefit from the broader mining supercycle.

The Results

Ticker Entry Entry Time Exit Exit Time Method P/L % Catalyst
IBIT $40.73 $41.09 3:20 PM Shadow $89.43 0.90 Btc Sympathy: Bitcoin surged above $71,000 driven by positive sentiment and massive short liquidations, benefiting IBIT as a Bitcoin spot ETF with direct exposure to BTC price movements.
BITB $38.99 $39.37 3:20 PM Shadow $96.00 0.96 Sector: Spot Bitcoin ETF flows and broader crypto strength appear to be lifting BITB, with no single BITB-specific catalyst identified in the latest headlines [via web]
MRK $150.00 $150.86 3:20 PM Shadow $56.76 0.57 Analyst: A Merck analyst upgraded the stock, placing it among the top 5 upgrades for Thursday.
ARKG $47.02 $47.78 3:20 PM Shadow $162.18 1.63 Partnership: Merck and Moderna's cancer vaccine breakthrough partnership could drive investor interest in mRNA technology holdings within ARKG's genomics and biotech portfolio.
WPM $144.95 $149.02 3:20 PM Shadow $276.76 2.81 Sector: Government deficit spending is driving demand for mining commodities, positioning WPM to benefit from the broader mining supercycle.

Shadow Results

Ticker Shadow Entry Shadow Exit Exit Time Method Shadow P/L % Result Catalyst
IBIT $40.73 $41.09 3:20 PM Shadow $89.43 0.90 WIN Btc Sympathy: Bitcoin surged above $71,000 driven by positive sentiment and massive short liquidations, benefiting IBIT as a Bitcoin spot ETF with direct exposure to BTC price movements.
BITB $38.99 $39.37 3:20 PM Shadow $96.00 0.96 WIN Sector: Spot Bitcoin ETF flows and broader crypto strength appear to be lifting BITB, with no single BITB-specific catalyst identified in the latest headlines [via web]
MRK $150.00 $150.86 3:20 PM Shadow $56.76 0.57 WIN Analyst: A Merck analyst upgraded the stock, placing it among the top 5 upgrades for Thursday.
ARKG $47.02 $47.78 3:20 PM Shadow $162.18 1.63 WIN Partnership: Merck and Moderna's cancer vaccine breakthrough partnership could drive investor interest in mRNA technology holdings within ARKG's genomics and biotech portfolio.
WPM $144.95 $149.02 3:20 PM Shadow $276.76 2.81 WIN Sector: Government deficit spending is driving demand for mining commodities, positioning WPM to benefit from the broader mining supercycle.

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This post is part of a series documenting MorningEdge's development in real time. The knowledge base contains 0 books, papers, and lab reports totaling 0+ searchable chunks. The trading system described is paper trading only — no real capital is at risk.